Weekend Briefing

Here's what you need to know to start your week

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Morning Headlines

Reuters: Semiconductors and other restricted goods shipped through China and Hong Kong to fuel Russia's war effort fell by a fifth this year previously undisclosed U.S. Commerce Department data shows, but Hong Kong remains a global sanctions evasion hotspot.

ISW: Russian State Duma Chairperson Vyacheslav Volodin recently visited Nicaragua and Cuba, likely as part of ongoing Kremlin efforts to project its influence in the Western hemisphere and rally states against the US and the West.

Reuters: Russia's Black Sea Tuapse oil refinery, owned by oil major Rosneft, was damaged in a Ukrainian drone attack overnight, officials from the Krasnodar region said on Monday.

21.07.2024

Ukrainska Pravda: Andrei Klimov, Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation, stated that Russia is willing to assist the ruling party Georgian Dream in retaining power if Tbilisi requests it from Moscow.

The Kyiv Independent: Russian forces launched a "double-tap" attack on first responders as they were curbing the aftermath of the previous attack in Sumy Oblast on July 21, the State Emergency Service said.

FT: Companies linked to a Russian spy ring have resumed buying machinery from a German toolmaker — just months after the manufacturer was warned about sales to the same smuggling network (archive).

AP News: Russia said Sunday it scrambled fighter jets to intercept two U.S. military long-range bomber aircraft that approached the Russian border over the Barents Sea in the Arctic.

RFE/RL: Ukraine’s parliamentary human rights commissioner said the “vast majority” of Ukrainian prisoners who have been returned to the country in exchanges with Russia said they had no communication with representatives of the International Committee of the Red Cross while they were being held.

The Kyiv Independent: Russia has lost five of its 18 Il-76 MD-90A aircraft due to poor-quality wheel bearings, the state-run media outlet Kommersant and the independent publication Important Stories reported.

CNN: Several European nations have reintroduced or expanded compulsory military service amid Moscow’s mounting threat, part of a range of policies aimed at boosting defenses that are likely to be scaled up even further.

ISW: Russian Minister of Defense Andrei Belousov and the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continue to use meetings with Kremlin-affiliated milbloggers to attempt to rehabilitate the MoD's image among pro-war Russian ultranationalists and portray Belousov as an effective manager of the MoD.

20.07.2024

Reuters: Slovakia will not be a "hostage" to Ukraine-Russia relations, its Prime Minister Robert Fico told his Ukrainian counterpart in a call on Saturday, after Kyiv placed Russian group Lukoil on a sanctions list, leading to a halt in deliveries.

The Kyiv Independent: The Millerovo military airfield in Russia's Rostov Oblast was damaged after a reported overnight drone strike, according to satellite data from July 20.

AFP: The International Olympic Committee said Saturday it was resigned to the Paris Games being targeted by disinformation attacks following recent incidents blamed on Russia.

Reuters: Poland wants the European Union to launch a campaign in the United States to raise awareness with the American public about the importance of the joint relationship.

Bloomberg: Azerbaijan has been approached by Ukraine and the European Union to supply natural gas to Europe via Ukraine after an existing contract with Russia expires at the end of the year, President Ilham Aliyev said (archive).

Novaya-Europe: Russians are increasingly choosing to ignore the war in Ukraine and its consequences, becoming more closed off and apathetic amid the Kremlin’s crackdown on dissent, researchers with The Public Social Laboratory have found.

The Kyiv Independent: The United States plans to impose new sanctions against Chinese entities that fuel Russia's war in Ukraine, Bloomberg reported on July 19, citing U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan.

Reuters: Three pro-Russian hackers have been arrested for alleged cyberattacks against Spain and other NATO countries for terrorist purposes, Spanish police said on Saturday.

ISW continues to assess that the Kremlin is struggling to reconcile its inconsistent policies that attempt to appease Russian ultranationalists' anti-migration position while leveraging migrants to address domestic labor shortages and the Russian military's force generation needs.

Reuters: Russia increased imports tariffs for consumer goods, including wine, beer, candies, biscuits and shampoo, produced in countries that support sanctions against Moscow, according to a government order published late on Friday.

19.07.2024

Bloomberg: The US is about to deploy a new ground-based jammer designed to blunt Chinese or Russian satellites from transmitting information about US forces during a conflict, the Space Force disclosed (archive).

The Kyiv Independent: Cubans continue to arrive in Russia to join its forces to fight against Ukraine despite the Cuban government's attempts to clamp down on recruitment.

Meduza: The Kremlin believes the return of soldiers from Ukraine will be Russia’s “biggest political and social risk factor” during Putin’s current presidential term, domestic policy czar Sergey Kiriyenko told a group of deputy governors at a recent meeting.

Novaya-Europe: The Russian economy has to date lost between 1.5 million and 1.7 million people, or about 2.2% of its total workforce, due to the war in Ukraine, data analysis carried out by Novaya Gazeta Europe has revealed.

WSJ: U.S. intelligence agencies are warning that Russia might arm Houthi militants in Yemen with advanced antiship missiles in retaliation for the Biden administration’s support for Ukrainian strikes inside Russia with U.S. weapons (archive).

Reuters: The United States imposed sanctions on two leaders of the Russian hacktivist group Cyber Army of Russia Reborn on Friday, citing their roles in targeting U.S. critical infrastructure, the Treasury Department said.

The Kyiv Independent: Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian Su-25 attack aircraft in the Pokrovsk sector of the front in Donetsk Oblast, the Khortytsia group of forces said on July 19.

Reuters: Ukraine's decision to halt the transit of oil from Russia's Lukoil threatens the long-term security of supply for Slovakia and Hungary, Hungary's Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told a news briefing on Friday.

The Kyiv Independent: Russian tourists have canceled summer holiday bookings in occupied Crimea en-masse, amid concerns over the "difficult security situation," Ukraine's military intelligence said on July 19.

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